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STX
Seagate Technology
STX
Q4 2026 Earnings
Reports in
-2days
Thu, Jul 16 · After close
Options-implied move
±20.1%
$614.96 · $925.04 · via ATM straddle
ATM IV
126.0%
Δ term slope -7.9 v/30d
IV-based EM
±25.5%
σ 126% · 15d
ATM Straddle
$155.04
Strike $770.00
IV Rank
98%
52w 34–108%
Provider signals

Crowding and flow context

Signal score 11
Short days
1.1
6.6M shares short
P/C volume
0 puts / 7.6K calls
P/C OI
0 puts / 26.4K calls
Actions
5/0
dividend / split events
massive · short 2026-06-30 · IV coverage 100%
Expected move

Probability density around spot

Log-normal model with ATM IV 126.0% over 15 days. Range $614.96–$925.04.
$475.02 · -38.3%Spot $770.00$1064.98 · +38.3%
Spot
20.1%
+20.1%
Straddle bandIV bandLog-normal density
Hover for probability · click to pin
Term structure

Implied range across expiries

Spot × (1 ± EM) at each expiry. Hover an expiry for details.
4 expiries
$470$620$770$920$1070Jul 3115dAug 1429dAug 2843dSep 1864d$1029$511
Historical

Realized moves · last 8 quarters

Close-to-close moves; implied range pending historical option chains.
+23%23%0%Q3 24Q4 24Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26Q2 26
Realized (up)Realized (down)
ATM greeks

Greeks by expiry

ATM call · delta hedge ratios, sensitivity to vol and time.
ExpiryDTEATM IVΔ DeltaΓ Gamma𝜈 VegaΘ ThetaStraddle
Jul 31Earnings
K $770
15d125.98%0.5000.00200.60-2.54$155.04
Aug 14
K $775
29d106.53%0.5110.00170.84-1.56$182.65
Aug 28
K $790
43d101.97%0.5080.00151.02-1.23$215.65
Sep 18
K $820
64d97.47%0.4940.00131.25-0.97$258.75
Options data · as of 2026-07-16Method: options math baseline
Seagate Technology (STX) | Quantiv